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Crown Green Handicap

Dave Webster

Team: Carr Mill ADivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

944

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

90

Matches Played

29

Wins

61

Losses

32%

Win Rate

7.9

Avg Win Margin

8.0

Avg Loss Margin

24-21

Home Record

5-40

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
52 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/1/2026

A large recent sample: 52 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 41-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins29/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 90 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

19 Apr20 Jul9 May8 Aug9 Jul6 May29 Jul9 Jun1 Sept-125811

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(40%)
35%
score-0.31→contribution-0.12
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.2
score-0.13→contribution-0.03
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.2
score+0.13→contribution+0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
40%
score-0.20→contribution-0.02
Opponent Strength(10%)
1022
score-0.29→contribution-0.03
Weighted Score-0.185
Sample Size Confidence
100%(52/41 matches)
Rating944 → shrunk 944
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)944
Recency Blend40% (52 recent matches)
Final Rating944
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

29W61L90 matches·32.2% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Carr Mill A2022–2026Division 190296132.2%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/1/2026Charlie FryerA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
8/25/2026Liam McEganH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
8/18/2026Mike SpencerA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
8/11/2026Neil FitzsimonH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
8/4/2026Matt GartsideA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 1
7/28/2026Daniel RigbyH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
7/21/2026John WilsonA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
7/15/2026David SwainA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
7/7/2026Stephen CardwellH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
6/30/2026Tony MeeA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
6/23/2026David BarrowH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
6/16/2026Simon TaylorA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
6/9/2026Phil O'ConnorH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
6/2/2026Neil FitzsimonA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
5/19/2026Daniel RigbyA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
5/12/2026Andy WilkinsonH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
5/5/2026Tony PownallH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
4/28/2026Ian HewittA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
4/7/2026Paul MellingH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
9/2/2025Phil O'ConnorA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
8/26/2025Ken BowenH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
8/19/2025Ian PalmerA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
8/5/2025Chris PriceA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
7/29/2025Ronnie BelshawH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
7/22/2025Mark WebsterA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
7/15/2025David BarrowA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
7/8/2025Daniel RigbyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
6/25/2025Paul GartsideA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
6/24/2025John CloughH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
6/17/2025Ken BowenA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
6/10/2025Declan KairnsH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
5/27/2025Chris PriceH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
5/20/2025Harvey BirchA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 1
5/13/2025Chris DagnallH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
5/6/2025David BarrowH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
4/29/2025Craig DitchfieldA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
4/22/2025Sean GartsideH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
4/15/2025Neil HiltonA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
4/8/2025Phil O'ConnorH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
9/3/2024Lance FletcherA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
8/27/2024Terry DooleyH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1
8/20/2024Ian HewittA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
8/6/2024Daniel LofthouseA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
7/23/2024Mike WinrowA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
7/16/2024Tommy O'DowdA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 1
7/9/2024Mark HoldenH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
7/3/2024Alan HeatonA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
6/25/2024Chris AshtonH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 1
6/18/2024Tom OllertonA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
6/11/2024Wayne DolanH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
5/28/2024Daniel LofthouseH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
5/14/2024Andy WilkinsonH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
9/5/2023Michael PollockA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
8/29/2023Alan BirchH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
8/15/2023Daniel LofthouseH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
8/8/2023Tony RobinsonA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
8/1/2023D HillierA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1
7/25/2023Andy TurnerH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
7/18/2023Terry KellyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
7/11/2023Simon TaylorH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
6/27/2023Antony MeeH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
6/21/2023Mark AthertonA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
6/6/2023Louis FazakerleyA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 1
5/30/2023Harvey BirchH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
5/23/2023Paul MellingH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
5/16/2023Martin WebsterA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
5/9/2023Brian McCarrickH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
4/25/2023Alan TaylorH2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 1
4/18/2023R BevingtonA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
4/11/2023Alan CatterallH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 1
9/6/2022Ged HopeA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
8/30/2022John HallH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 1
8/23/2022Eddie BrooksA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
8/16/2022Lee DowningH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
8/10/2022Tim WaineA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
8/9/2022Garry CarrA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
7/26/2022Simon TaylorH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
7/20/2022Ray MaleyA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 1
7/5/2022James LongshawA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
6/28/2022Tony RobinsonH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
6/21/2022Lee BolanA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
6/14/2022Ken LethbridgeH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
6/7/2022Jon StrainA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
5/31/2022Keith MitchinsonH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
5/24/2022Vinnie DalzielH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 1
5/17/2022Craig TaylorA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
5/10/2022Alan BirchH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
4/26/2022Owen CooksonH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
4/19/2022Jeff BarlowA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
4/12/2022Chris DagnallH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

9

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LWLLL
Last 1040% win rate↓ declining
LWLLLWLWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Daniel Rigby12333.3%7/28/2026
David Barrow21366.7%6/23/2026
Simon Taylor0330%6/16/2026
Phil O'Connor0330%6/9/2026
Daniel Lofthouse12333.3%8/6/2024
Neil Fitzsimon0220%8/11/2026
Andy Wilkinson11250%5/12/2026
Ian Hewitt0220%4/28/2026
Paul Melling202100%4/7/2026
Ken Bowen0220%8/26/2025
Biggest Win
Vinnie Dalziel (+17)5/24/2022
Heaviest Defeat
Tommy O'Dowd (-19)7/16/2024
Nemesis
Simon Taylor0-3 H2H
Best Season
202446% · 13 matches
Worst Season
202520% · 20 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
33% → 31%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
99290 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
14-3727% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
15-2438% win rate
Division 132.2%
29W·61L·90 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Sep 1, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

18.0 (90 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026